all proper good morning everyone and welcome tothe excellent morning everyone professional dealer webinar uh at this time we’ve brent kachuba and uh we’re gonnabe going by way of um uh some futures and a few shares right here uh brent uh has been uh he is achieved abunch of webinars with us earlier than previously right here uh he has a uh historical past in um the uh wellinstitutional background right here work for b of a uh credit score suisse uh and um additionally uh with uhwolverine um uh representing their digital uh derivatives buying and selling platform so uh now brentis working uh with spotgamma.com that is uh his uh invention right here uh as he strikes forwardwith publishes numerous uh metrics on choices information uh if you wish to attain out to brent uhyou obtained his web site right here uh spotgamma.com uh there’s um subscriptions uh for uh anddifferent merchandise right here that he has i will be pasting these into the chat so you’ll be able to uh accessthose in order for you undergo some disclosures after which we’ll leap proper in and get going heregeneral disclosure all bookmap restricted supplies data and displays are for educationalpurposes solely and shouldn’t be thought of particular funding recommendation nor recommendationsrisk disclosure buying and selling futures equities and digital currencies includes substantial riskof loss and isn’t appropriate for all buyers previous efficiency isn’t essentially indicativeof future outcomes all proper so with that mentioned uh we’ll leap proper in and uh uh welcome brentnice to have you ever again thanks bruce i admire it it is uh been a pair months right here it is beena wild few months since oh yeah it has uh so um you already know uh brent and that i talked about this we wethought we might we might uh simply undergo uh uh a number of the uh uh ranges in um that he provides that is hisproduct over right here with the uh uh cloud notes that’s inside bookmap uh broadcasted or inside bookmaphere uh displayed after which there’s additionally this hero indicator down right here um that’s exhibiting um thehedge affect of uh you already know actual time choices with these triangles that you just see on herebut some fascinating stuff in right here and that i simply need to let you already know about this thishero indicator what it is exhibiting you right here is um concerning the choices in addition to these ranges hereare additionally uh concerning choices from uh when is it up to date Three Three a.m is that proper sure time okay that’sright so uh each night time round midnight roughly japanese time the uh exchanges publish up to date openinterest so we learn that open curiosity and that’s what is the underlying for the buying and selling levelsthat we have sharpened yeah yeah um so i do not know what what do you suppose what is going on on out therebrent and uh going yeah a few of these devices certain so this morning what we’re trying athere are uh some huge choices ranges at 4300 and you’ll see that in in white there it is calledthree now l3 means it is the third largest degree that we’re studying within the extra what the biggestoptions ranges are and the fundamental concept round any of these ranges you see in cloud notes is that asthe market approaches these ranges i feel choices hedging stream picks up so choices sellers andmarket makers could improve their hedging stream round these uh labeled ranges and that’s whatcreates help and resistance uh these strikes now the second factor that you just talked about is thezero indicator on the backside so if you consider the labels within the cloud notes the open interestas the positions that we are available initially of the day we expect these are key help andresistance hero indicator is studying all the real-time choices stream going down on this casein the s p 500 so that is the spx index choices in addition to the spyder choices and it is showingyou what the estimated hedge of that stream is in order merchants purchase calls or promote calls purchase and sellputs we consider that market makers on the opposite aspect could need to hedge that order stream so justcontextually to speak about what’s taking place within the first you already know 30 minutes of buying and selling to this point youcan see that the market had rallied fairly sharply it rejected proper round that vault triggerarea which is a serious resistance line for us the market you already know on open recededfrom that degree however what you’ll be able to see that the choices stream is considerably bullish to startthe day and that i say bullish as a result of that inexperienced line right here when the very backside is trending up and thatis telling us that merchants are promoting places and or shopping for calls and that is what’s referred to as positivedelta stream so when you’re a market maker and also you’re on the opposite aspect of that constructive delta stream thatmeans as merchants are shopping for calls or promoting places you’re doing the alternative proper you are sellingor shopping for places and that leaves you in what’s a adverse delta place you might want to purchase somestock or some options edge so on the whole if i used to be simply trying on the display right here onopen we dropped slightly below form of considered one of our key ranges however the choices stream on the is bullishwhich tells me that we could meet or again up that vulture yeah yeah fascinating so uhyou know look that like uh we’re down beneath a key degree uh we’ve uh quitea bit right here uh on the bid as you’ll be able to see right here um patrons lining up right here at 4275 space uh and plus youcan see that the the the cumulative quantity delta for the choices general is uh is constructive hereright proper and so you already know i feel contextually if you consider what occurred over this pastweekend individuals are fearful about geopolitical threat you already know no matter could occur russia ukraine uhsituation and so that you in all probability need to personal some put safety involved about you already know sometype of occasion past which we have already seen proper so that you need to personal some choices personal some putprotection on the weekend after which because the market opens and it does not look like something materiallyhappened a minimum of sufficient to drive equities decrease you in all probability promote a few of these places as a result of uhthey’re bleeding proper if you wish to put over the weekend you mainly simply paid a giant tax interms of time decay uh and or what we might name a you already know volatility discount mainly impliedvolatility so your places are hurting and also you need to simply shut these out rapidly on the open andi suppose typically instances that why you that is why you’ll be able to see on this case get some constructive deltareadings uh creeping in right here to begin the day now if that hero sign was to show downsay proper round now that might inform us that merchants are in all probability shopping for places and uh that’sobviously a bearish kind of sign or indicator and so we might look to see does the does the heroflow change if we take a look at that 300 degree does that inform us that look possibly sellers are hedgingor merchants form of have now switched from a unwinding safety to needed to purchase that means oh are you continue to there brent i feel oh yeah okay okay yeah yeah it has been form of reducing in andout a bit bit um proper however uh yeah i imply uh so yeah when you begin to see this this herostarting to show round possibly um then uh form of look out yeah that is proper and in our so one oneof the issues we do at spot gamma for many who are new to what we do is we write a day by day noteso each morning round seven o’clock japanese time we ship out a word with our now choice sortof our framework and the way in which that we’re trying on the market based mostly on how choices are positionedand considered one of our core themes right here has been that the uh equities has not appeared to react asviolently to promoting and another shifts as another asset courses i feel there’sa lot of people who find themselves scratching their head and questioning why equities aren’t reallydropping farther right here in actual fact when you have a look at since february 24th would you already know that’sthe official day that russia invaded ukraine um the s p as of you already know roughly this morningup round two and a half to a few % proper from the day they invaded and that i thinkthat lots of people really feel like it’s a main market adverse and you’ll obviouslyoutline a number of the tail dangers right here and from a humanitarian perspective it is it is unhappy proper butjust form of callously speaking concerning the markets the s p’s really up and so why is that effectively ifyou keep in mind again to the december january timeframe uh folks began to get involved aboutmonetary coverage and what the fed was going to do and so they began so as to add put safety method backthen and that put safety was going to cowl them for the fomc assembly that mainly takesplace subsequent week so subsequent week we we flagged that as a serious occasion as a result of you’ve got the fomc16th after which you’ve got a really giant choices expiration on the 18th which is subsequent friday andso as a result of the market went into this geopolitical window right here over the past two weeks uh effectively hedgedwe suppose that the affect of of the promoting or or what or the market was capable of higher absorbbasically telling or any geopolitical issues uh as a result of it was already fairly effectively hedged becauseof the fomc now when you look traditionally at main interim bottoms within the s p 500 they comeright after huge choices expiration so uh when you had been to look again for instance in december of2018 there was the well-known you already know sell-off that coincided with you already know mnuchin calling the bankson christmas eve effectively christmas eve was the day after a really giant quarterly x choices expirationand the market ripped increased after that the identical factor in march of 2020 the the low was the dayafter march choices expiration and and so we had one other enormous expiration in uh simply this pastjanuary proper and and there was a a big low out there the friday after that januaryoptions expiration so this this sort of expiration is coming once more subsequent friday and we expect that thatcould be a catalyst uh mixed with the fmc that might be a great catalyst for uh for a fairly goodre reduction rally now we solely look about 30 days out so who’s say what occurs within the subsequent quarter ortowards the tip of the yr however we do suppose that that when giant put positions expire it may well bringa reduction rally to the market and in order that’s roughly how we’re issues now over the nextso-called week or two fascinating i imply so the the the places and the impact of them is actuallyhaving form of a inverse impact um uh yeah that that is proper so when you when you have a look at thesebig ranges right here in your display um we’re in what’s referred to as a adverse gamma state of affairs and manyof it’s possible you’ll be conversant in this concept however however mainly if if we had been to have a number of name openinterest across the on the cash strikes or the place the market is buying and selling we might count on volatilitymuch lighter a lot decrease and that’s as a result of because the market trades and sellers have lengthy name positionson the way in which that they head mainly suppresses mark market volatility makes volatility lowerand on this state of affairs we’ve very giant put positions on out there significantly andthose strikes are actually concentrated round uh proper right here the place the market is buying and selling andso sellers who’re brief places need to hedge with the market in that case in order the marketgoes down sellers to promote inventory to hedge and if the market rallies then they should purchase stockto hedge to re-hedge proper so what’s taking place now could be we’re a adverse gamma state of affairs andwe’ll get headlines that simply fly in proper um you already know points with a you already know whateverthe geopolitical headlines are be headline algos i feel might learn or merchants canreact quickly to these headline readings after which the adverse gamma of the marketof the sellers has to additionally react simply as a kind of byproduct or a spinoff of that proper soimagine proper now that it comes out that you already know some unlucky bombing simply happened and themarket begins to promote effectively that promoting’s going to be exacerbated or expanded as a result of market makershave to begin promoting futures to remain hedged and that is why you will see you already know our levelswill unfold out a bit bit so when you see there is a degree up there at 4 300 however thenext one’s not all the way in which right down to about options and so that you get these very largeswings simply as a operate of the way in which that uh that choices are positioned andthe method that sellers are positioned so when you kind of quick ahead another weekto choices expiration effectively a a considerable amount of the places roughly about 35 to 40 % of alltotal places expired subsequent friday and in order that’s why we’ve it highlighted as when all theseputs expire effectively that that might cut back a whole lot of this hedging stream proper a whole lot of the hedgingrequirements um which might be volatility kind of excessive so i imply what do you i are form of speculatinglike would is likely to be a excessive likelihood state of affairs uh after choices expiration so to me the excessive ifyou had been simply to look traditionally at what occurs round these giant expirations is that mondayafter expiration is often when the low is put into the market and and when you go to our sitespotgambler.com we have we have you already know written about this extensively we speak about in our day by day notesand the purpose right here is that over the subsequent 10 days volatility is prone to stay very excessive and noone goes to scale back their put positions actually till fomc proper the the financial coverage to me isthe primary on market and the primary factor merchants are hedging the geopolitical state of affairs youknow is is clearly a tail threat right here and if there may be some sort of a ceasefire we we might get adecent rally proper after all we might however we expect that that rally be capped within the 4400 to 400 areaso mainly about 100 factors up from right here now as soon as the fomc passes and folks simply understandwhat financial coverage is have a greater concept of you already know the variety of price heights quantitativeeasing all that okay nice then we are able to modify our product our safety and likewise look to type ofallocate our belongings extra effectively going ahead so in different phrases nobody’s going to reallyclose their places proper cut back their hedges kill the fomc and that is going to maintain thingsvolatile that retains i feel tail threat a bit bit increased right here proper as a result of if the market reallystarts to drop we’ll begin promoting the market will begin promoting off and we’ll sort ofkind of hold getting these actually giant violent directional swings you already know daily up till upuntil once more that fomc the opposite factor to form of word which a few of you all could discover interestingis that there’s a there are intraday expiration so excuse me inside of each week now there areexpirations for the qs spiders and spx on mondays wednesdays and fridays and so what we’ll seein the hero indicator is a whole lot of instances it can register that choices order stream is way bigger onthose days and we expect that is as a result of there’s a whole lot of we’ll simply name day merchants proper they canbe refined hedge funds and like however we’re simply going to bucket them as day merchants that aretrying to purchase and promote choices significantly this excessive volatility they’re attempting to promote optionsorder that expires you already know the identical day so for instance at this time’s monday there’s gonna be a lotof folks buying and selling that entrance that that entrance contract proper the entrance choices contractand that may serve to exacerbate volatility so volatility we expect excessive general however on mondayswednesdays and fridays you simply get intraday sizzling bigger swings environments additionally as a result of there’sso many individuals attempting to day commerce these uh these contracts expire in only a matter of some hoursum so that there is a uh there’s like that added place proper that that may uh develop volatilityor make issues swing a bit extra violently wow wow i imply uh i i recall like from thepresentation like considered one of your first i consider um it was again when covid uh was simply uh uh youknow um popping out and the information was unhealthy and and uh however but the market buoyed you already know uh and stayedyou know and continued to form of like barely go up till choices expiration yeah and it’sreally it is fairly fascinating i imply when you do look again at that covid sell-off it was uhit actually kicked off it was it was uh the third friday roughly of february and there was loads ofcall choices really expired that day the promoting really began form of in the direction of the tail finish ofoptions expiration week and so you already know that that expiration of these calls appear to kick off or someof the you already know launch the excessive so to talk and the market did cream fairly a bit decrease and that i thinkover the subsequent week you already know we might have we might pull down one other 4 or 5 % from hereum i feel with ease once more as a result of the the choices market kind of helps that you already know it throttlesthe promoting a bit bit right here due to the hedging flows uh and since merchants are prettywell hedged as i discussed earlier than so we do not get the state of affairs whereby you already know we’ll have likea restrict down day proper however we might have a a succession of two three % down days in a rowjust form of find yourself grinding decrease and when you have a look at the way in which that choices are positioned overallthere’s a ton of open curiosity really on the decision and put aspect at 4 000 and so you already know if wewere to actually get our worst case state of affairs could be 4 000 or the 40 50 ranges technically the exactlevel that we’re watching the place look if the market does simply promote down there we expect that it is aninteresting place to to take a look at getting some lengthy publicity merely off of a technical i assume i wouldcall it an oversold degree uh for lack of a greater time period and you already know folks kind of perceive thatso you already know this the power for the market to have a fairly good slide or selloff right here over thenext a number of days is uh remains to be fairly excessive however once more it is feeding into that key timeframe of ofmarch 18th which is which is the large expiration proper proper um so there’s a number of questions i seecoming by way of about um how do you um learn uh and use the the hero uh indicator and uh you already know uhmaybe uh mixed right here additionally along with your uh your your cloud notes column yeah so to to maintain it reallyvery easy there’s three issues that i’ll watch one clearly watching the value motion aroundthe ranges that you just see revealed there within the cloud notes um the second factor that i watch isimplied volatility so for many of you the simplest factor to observe is the vix after which the third thingis the hero indicator and that is not essentially an order of significance but when i used to be to look atthe method that the market is buying and selling proper now um i see the vix is flat proper it is about 33 68 callit um so it is not likely doing a lot bruce introduced up the vix futures there so you already know they’rethey’re effectively off of in a single day as um and so they’re simply form of trending proper the market’s tryingto digest regardless of the order flows coming over the morning clearly there’s crude oil made youknow it is huge strikes so so there’s some volatility in different asset courses and i feel the market’strying to digest um so volatility is by way of simply watching the vix is doing nothing at thismoment and the hero indicator itself for equities is true um which is telling me that it actuallyseems to truly be shifting bullish there proper so the truth that implied volatility isn’t goingand the hero indicator isn’t dropping that is telling me that merchants will not be attempting to buyput choices proper now clearly there are tons of different flows exterior of choices that may affectthe market so i am unaware of what these might be however i am simply trying on the choices mark rightnow i feel the choices market stream is bullish as a result of that inexperienced line on the backside goes upand i am anticipating the vix to substantiate proper now the vix isn’t going increased in the mean time so thosetwo issues make sense to me for the market to kind of feed again up into that huge 3300 gamma degree nowif vix was spiking or shifting up and that hero indicator was transferring down that might be telling methat merchants are positioning for a adverse delta or including adverse delta trades which infersthat sellers must begin promoting inventory in the mean time i am not seeing that i see vixcoming down and that i see the hero indicator kind of trending up so consequently i might not lookat shorting this market does not seem like it does not imply it may well’t go down clearly becausewho is aware of what else might be taking place on the market however the steadiness of stream from the ops perspectiveright now could be is is fairly impartial the marginally bullish i might say so i attempt to mix all thosethings in and round these key buying and selling ranges if the market was to unload right here fairly sharply iwould search for the uh those self same alerts to show proper at once more say 3240 which is the subsequent combolevel on the way in which down when i say flip it means once more hero going up is a bullish signal vic’s goingdown signal so that you search for these indicators to all kind of you already know mix and sync basicallyaround the the degrees that we have laid out yeah yeah fascinating fascinating stuff i imply ii you already know um studying the the uh hero indicator like um uh you you’ve got talked about it previously itit’s at all times form of fascinating the way you’re studying these flat areas and the way the flat areasare really telling you fairly a bit um yeah proper so you need to consider it in a umso so what is definitely taking place when the hero indicator is transferring up prefer it was from 9 30 to10 is these are energetic trades going down proper so that’s folks what we’re doing is each singleoptions commerce that takes place we measure what the estimated hedge affect is from that commerce so umthe incontrovertible fact that the indicator goes up is telling you that merchants are actively shopping for calls orselling places after which you’ll be able to see that mainly i might suppose it is round 10 15 to proper aboutnow proper the indicator itself is flat and so that’s telling you that it is simply impartial stream thatit’s going down so that you nearly need to in a method segregate what occurred earlier than 10 proper becauseover the final 20 or 30 minutes no order stream within the choices or and or it is simply impartial flowmeaning calls and places are excuse me bouncing on the market proper in order that’s a really impartial readingover the final say 30 minutes so in it mentally you nearly form of need to like overlook what’s nowhappened earlier on the open proper as a result of that is a bit bit previously and over the past 20 or30 minutes it has been very impartial overflow once more even available on the market it appears to be promoting offa little bit right here so that you’re precisely proper that after that line flattens out that is telling youthe choices market’s not likely doing something it is quiet proper and you will see that over thecontext for these of you who’ve been watching there may be some very violent huge movesparticularly round you already know fed headlines or um you already know different occasions like that into the closea lot of instances significantly at this time once more as a result of there’s an expiration you are gonna see the heroreadings will will transfer very quickly as merchants exit and enter these uh brief dated expirationcontracts so um you will you will see once more that indicator shift loads and the truth that it isflat is telling us that there is not a lot going down so the market is promoting off however the optionsmarket is is kind of ambivalent to that i assume yeah actually actually fascinating after which i justkind of overlaid the stops and icebergs on right here simply to attempt to get possibly a bit bit extra kindof extra data on what bigger gamers is likely to be doing in right here yeah possibly absorbing onthe different aspect yeah and in concept right here what we must always see is when there are huge hero readings oror there is a huge change of succession proper of of readings like proper earlier than 10.What’s interestingto me is that in concept if that hero indicator is dropping that is telling us the sellers have toshort futures proper uh to to keep up hedges and the icebergs will typically coincide withthat proper and that that to me is kind of telling us okay there’s been sufficient of a hero movehere to attract out precise choices order hedging stream from the market so you already know once more when you lookright at 10 and also you simply see the the icebergs dropping possibly you suppose oh hey there’s some newsout that i missed or one thing is happening out there i do not know what is going on on what’s goingon and now when you can see that the hero indicator is dropping you say okay look this iceberg orderflow these huge trades may simply be associated to choices hedging so contextually i understandwhat’s occurring proper it isn’t that bomb went off someplace and and individuals are reacting that imean clearly folks might purchase or promote places if if that is the case however if you cannot discover information and yousee the choices flows transferring then that may clarify a whole lot of that iceberg overflow yeah interestinginteresting dynamics for certain um between these uh these parts um let’s examine uh did you wantto uh possibly speak about a number of the particular person shares or crude oil uh yeah a number of the metals imean we do not so in the mean time we do not cowl the commodities futures market however what we’ve seenif you have a look simply at x1 for instance we have seen clearly a number of days in a row of bullishorder stream heading into a whole lot of these names exxon chevron et cetera and the choices market is fairlylarge in these entities and so what you’ll typically see right here is now there’s bullish order stream andwhen you see bullish order stream for a number of days statistically we discovered that that could be a a positiveindicator for the inventory going ahead so you already know it is simply kind of relentless callbuying uh in these shares as you’ll be able to see you get you retain getting these you already know surgesin the cumulative indicator increased uh and that is telling us that the bullish stream continues to comewhich is sort of a bit now what’s fascinating is you’ll be able to typically instances see at key spot gamma levelswhich we’ve a instrument referred to as the fairness hub the place you’ll be able to analyze what the uh huge choices ranges arein exxon that you’re going to see the hero indicator stream change at a number of the huge choices ranges that nottelling us that the merchants are adjusting their positions as we get into the strikes which have lota lot of enormous gamma um so for these of you that wish to play say gamma squeeze or somethingof the like while you see the road trending increased prefer it did from roughly 9 50 to 10 o’clockyou can inform that that is a whole lot of name stream or constructive choices stream flooding right into a inventory andthen as soon as the indicator flattens out that tells us that that decision stream has subsided so even thoughthe inventory proper now could be at a excessive you’ll be able to see that the hero indicator itself is roughly belowa little bit beneath zero and has been trending out so the choices market isn’t persevering with to buythat that subsequent degree of excessive if that is smart you’ll be able to see this you already know actually clearly whenthe elective mark actually goes nuts prefer it was in tesla you already know a number of months in the past um the choices forflood into a whole lot of these vitality names and you will see kind of the stream activate and you will see theline change or modify after which the stream will flip off which signifies that that the indicator the heroindicator itself flattens out so that is supplying you with an ideal view into how the choices market bothfrom a a technical perspective that means sellers could hedge but in addition from a elementary perspectiveor a sentiment perspective you already know are folks shopping for calls or is one thing else driving ormoving these inventory so so in essence although i imply like as soon as i imply when you’re thishedge affect right here um then then within the order stream what you are searching for is like okay effectively ifthey’re shopping for calls like how is the market reacting to this uh and uh and so they’ve stopped andhero’s flat flat um however you already know you continue to see a whole lot of shopping for coming in right here by way of simply youknow shopping for of the particular underline um effectively that is you already know they’re positioned already so simply lookfor this to proceed on up till the order stream uh says one thing completely different yeah the so we staywe save all the info from the hero indicator and we have been operating statistics on it and whatwe discover is the one of the best most constant sign is what we name imply reversion sowhat will we imply by that it signifies that when giant order stream and that is the trick isfiguring out what’s giant choices overflow however when giant order stream goes right into a inventory or eventhe index and that order stream shuts off now be that bullish order stream or naked shoulder stream whenwhen the when that stream shuts off the inventory will imply revert so on this case you already know if it is largebullish order stream and and that does not seem like large uh massively bullish i imply it is bullishoverflow on the display right here however i would not name it you already know a number of commonplace deviationslarger than what we have seen lately however technically talking as soon as that bullish orderflow now stops we might see the inventory imply revert proper so when you had been trying to need to fade amove you already know purchase a dip or promote a rip so to talk anticipating that hero sign to show uhflatten out and switch is is a superb indicator that that the inventory could you already know change its trendon on the brief time period so it and that is that is um that is nice i imply like uh i hadn’theard you uh speak about that one earlier than um and when you i imply when you simply suppose aboutit proper when you consider that and we we posted a youtube video concerning the hero indicator uh on ayoutube spot recreation and we speak about particularly about how choices orders are despatched into the marketand how they’re hedged and so if you consider wall road bets for instance if all of them decidedthat they needed to purchase exxon mobil at this time they might all begin placing orders into their you knowinteractive brokers or e-trade or robin hood app proper and once they begin pounding a inventory buyingcalls sellers immediately need to react to that and the way in which they will react to that youknow sellers are promoting all these calls proper to wall road bets folks they’re gonna haveto begin hedging and the way in which that they are gonna hedge is shopping for inventory so as soon as these callsstop coming into the market they’ll cease shopping for the inventory proper and and that is whythe inventory can fade proper it is only a matter of watching the order stream are available oncethat shopping for is finished proper as a result of the the choices order stream is turned off then the buyingpressure subsides proper the momentum will get misplaced yeah yeah i imply i am simply curious thoughlike by way of a imply reversion would you do you sometimes see it come again to some ofthese worth ranges the place you see the hero uh you already know the the hedge affect right here in realtime yeah i i’ve not studied you already know the place the imply reversion comes again um i feel thatyou know the the choices market is consistently transferring proper uh and you’ll see now in exxon mobilwhat’s taking place is it appears to be like like bearish order stream has are available over the previous few minutes becauseyou can see the hero line is now trending decrease um in order that’s a really fascinating idea simply wantto really try proper is what does the imply reversion return to is it’s it strikes withlarge open curiosity is it kind of the thought of all of the block print right here lately and that is whereit ought to fade again to them and people are fairly fascinating ideas and that i’ll need to ask some ofthe merchants really which might be utilizing this loads to see in the event that they’ve form of picked up on something likethat however i imply you’ll be able to clearly see there was a whole lot of liquidity up there at 87.Uh regardless ofwhy that liquidity was there it appeared like as soon as the inventory hit that degree it appeared to unleash somenegative delta buying and selling so folks offered calls doubtless what i am pondering uh or they purchased places hmm andyeah and it actually occurred proper at that huge liquidity degree there yeah yeah precisely precisely imean it is a it is a actually uh form of fascinating method to take a look at the order stream a unique kindof angle at it with the choices data right here it is smart i imply the the imply reversion likeyou had been speaking about earlier however like the place is the reversion two like um you already know uh what whatmean i imply does it go come again to a few of these ranges in listed below are we gonna have a look at like a vapp uh or you already know one thing like that in right here um yeah that is uh uh i feel a whole lot of that isa lot of relies on on timeframe clearly um what what’s the continued order stream you knowif that is this order stream continues to be bearish effectively that is that is extra bearish stress on thestock now proper versus if the indicator simply begins turning sideways which is basicallytelling you look the the order stream within the choices market has actually turned off uh and so that you knowthis this might be extra of a brief time period play what’s additionally been fascinating is is see theorder stream are available on a few of these names which have been simply smoked like after earningsfor instance um like when you had been trying to play i keep in mind netflix was one the place uh the inventory wasdown i consider was like 20 after earnings you already know and um you might see that at a certainpoint the choices stream simply turned massively bullish and that was really a longerterm sign that there was a extra materials steadiness within the inventory proper since you might seeokay look if i owned places and that i simply made 20 i am glad to take these off now uh and that signalactually confirmed to be a multi-day kind of degree you already know rally within the inventory now two extra recentones paypal and fb that very same bullish order stream by no means got here into the inventory in actual fact thatthe predominantly the predominant order stream on these names has been to promote calls uh whichyou know can hold stress on the inventory decrease so the the time frames you already know need to i thinkread in context with what with no matter could also be occurring within the inventory you already know on this casethere’s a there’s some day buying and selling stream and a few good momentum off the truth that you already know crudeis up 10 proper uh so these imply reversions i feel are going down within the context of a stockthat is is fairly bullish and sure trending yeah yeah fascinating fascinating stuffum are the opposite different commodities that you are looking at like uh another the otherplace that we have been seeing a whole lot of bullish order stream is in uh silver and gold so when you lookat a whole lot of the gold miners uh silver you already know you’ve got up your display there and gold silver the theetfs themselves um wow one thing’s occurring the ets themselves are a bit bit difficult becauseobviously there’s the there’s the long run proper so we’re watching the choices order stream on etfsthemselves and i feel there’s a whole lot of arbitrage between the etfs and the long run so it is alittle extra cloudy i feel significantly um on a number of the smaller order stream days in inlike gold and silver however when you’ll be able to see a whole lot of huge time orders will are available and also you cantell it is a huge order as a result of the hero indicator it can have a perpendicular line and it willbe a giant line so proper after 10 o’clock there’s two huge orders there these are block tradesthat make that hero indicator leap like that and the opposite factor that you’re going to see is a multi-dayorder stream coming in bullish significantly in silver final a number of days the gdx and a few ofthe miners are fascinating once more since you’re getting persistent you already know daily we’ll seebig order stream bullish order stream are available on these uh on these mining shares um and you will see justcontinuous kind of uptrend so you will get 4 5 six seven ten days of bullish order that thatstatistically talking has confirmed to be you already know an ideal indicator for you already know tomorrow and howthe inventory will react so do you consider it as like nearly like insider biting shopping for inventory backsright you are getting the tailwind from the truth that calls hold getting purchased in a inventory hmm imean do you discover this impact with a lot of the etfs yeah and and it is it is fascinating to observe theorder stream within the etfs as a result of um once more a whole lot of them are tied to futures or you already know if goldfutures begin promoting off effectively gld goes to go together with it proper there’s an arbitrage there so againyou need to learn the choices order for a bit bit you already know in another way it was it is fascinatingto see and watch the identical factor the vix you will get the vix futures are transferring and the vix isobviously tied to the value of fpx choices but it surely’s fascinating to observe the vix orderflow or the order stream in vxx or uv xy i imply as lots of you already know you already know a whole lot of peoplelike to play that roll down proper the pure decay that is constructed into the vxx and uvxyand you’ll be able to actually see when folks begin to brief cowl or get squeezed out of thosepositions within the vxx or evxy due to vic spikes proper and i feel in gold and a few ofthese different issues it is a related factor the place possibly i am lengthy gold futures however iwant us i need to purchase places as a option to so that you form of have to have the ability to piece togetherthe method that a few of these these uh uh these asset courses are buying and selling towards every otherin order gold gold futures gld et cetera like possibly i am lengthy options however i simply purchase gld put orthere’s another sort of arbitrage going down yeah i imply it is uh you already know i imply in in bookmapwhen we have a look at a few of these uh etfs like um uh the the order stream is is could be very very differentthe conduct is i imply there’s simply you already know enormous you already know hedging and arbitrage uh and also you cansee it inside this instrument as effectively right here i imply it is giving good form of sign or readings down right here 184 and this sort of 183.75um however when you zoom in right here i imply simply have a look at how shut they’re right here uh to to the you already know theprice and and yeah you’ll be able to see there there’s an ideal instance of a block commerce you see the twoair there somebody placed on some sort of a diffusion and then you definitely see that hole down within the hero whichis simply telling you that look some some sort of block commerce went up and that is how that reveals upon the hero do you suppose there’s any correlation between that and and this spike right here i i do not i imean the the the truth is these are two minutes other than one another proper so uh yeah it is it’spossible to form of have a look at what the order is uh put that collectively i imply in the identical lecture italked about earlier than if once more on our youtube web page we discuss concerning the huge orders and the very fact thatwhen a giant order like that comes throughout a desk you a giant order often goes to an upstairs desk rightlike financial institution desk or one thing and so they’ll hedge uh oftentimes earlier than the precise commerce goes up soi would extra doubtless suspect that the large inexperienced bar quantity bar there you already know just some minutes afterlike a minute after possibly extra tied to that order however that is simply form of hypothesis i imply itdoesn’t appear proper they’ll try this you already know like they hedge earlier than the place um uh do not theyhave to take the order first effectively you need to you need to print it as just like the inventory proper so youyou can you’ll be able to i could make an settlement with you that i am going to commerce you already know okay you knowbruce we’ll commerce a thousand you already know contracts of microsoft um and that i can say hey traderput put the hedge on whereas i kind of negotiate the small print right here or no matter so um i imply i i thinkin a method it is it isn’t essentially uh you’ll be able to have a look at it two methods proper if as soon as that optionstrade goes up you are and also you print it on the alternate you are giving freely a whole lot of informationto folks proper proper uh and so i i feel that on the whole um you need to print it as you already know thator {that a} inventory order was tied to an choices order and it must be you already know fairly closeto when the commerce goes up as opposed you additionally from a threat perspective don’twant to print the stuff down and wait you already know a half an hour or one thing like that todo your choices commerce as a result of as a result of that might throw your threat off so um i do not suppose that’sreally a nefarious you already know method of working however um okay no i used to be simply inquisitive about that um however imean i feel there’s ways in which you already know actually actually it is extra advantageous to place the hedgeup instantly earlier than you place the choices order up i imply that that is smart um than doing itthe different method proper however that is the fascinating factor about it if you consider electronicmarket maker who’s simply getting pounded with choices order stream electronically they’re reactingafter the very fact proper after the commerce takes place as a result of they solely know the commerce takes place whenit occurs after which they need to react as opposed if i name you up on the cellphone and we speak about itthen i do know earlier than you already know you place your commerce up that that it is gonna occur does that make senseyeah yeah yeah for certain um so you will see the you will see the the uh you will see the the stockor you already know etf or no matter act a bit bit in another way earlier than these huge prints um extra oftenthan versus while you see a bunch of actually small hero stream that provides up into like a curvethat’s one thing that is extra digital overflow and and the hedging affect may come after theresult of that the aggregation of a whole lot of small order in order that that is while you’re thecvd uh output right here in hero proper proper in order that you already know in that display there’s not a wholelot occurring proper we’re having some chunky block trades which have moved the indicator lowerbut general it is it is comparatively flat such as you’re getting these stair steps and the stair steps eachstair is sort of a huge order proper like a block commerce of some sort versus you already know when you lookat tesla you will see a really clear curve and we see these curves it is telling you that there is a lot alot of digital overflow coming into the market see how chunky or how you already know curvilinear theorder stream is in right here sure there are some you already know gaps proper however actually what that is is there’s tonsof small orders coming into the market as a result of the the the road simply appears to be like completely differenti’m not a lot for the as soon as i will attempt to relay that the thought of that however yeah yeah let melet me simply form of modify this a bit right here and see what a thousand appears to be like like or thatmight be a bit method method an excessive amount of yeah it is it is fascinating worth motion so farthis morning i imply you are seeing i am my dashboard right here however there’s some bearish orderflow within the queues uh put shopping for and and spiders are our impartial is barely form of i guessi simply name them fairly impartial at this level however to this point it appears fairlykind of quiet though the options look like uh I assume they justmore or much less imply reverted that transfer from 7 a.m yeah so yeah i imply the s p right here the e-mini isjust gone down a bit right here um yeah however when you i imply when you have a look at that order stream there i meanthe choices market isn’t you already know uh shopping for places it does not look like poised foruh you already know actual giant noticed at this time in order that that is the that is the len i imply impliedvolatility remains to be holding up um however the concept right here actually is that uh when nothing happensin the market proper if you aren’t getting promoting implied volatility that means the vix willnaturally begin to come down proper as a result of the vix wants when the vic’s at 34 that is implyingthat choices merchants predict a two % day by day transfer proper so if the market simply sortof stalls and nothing occurs then the worth of put choices begins to return down fairly rapidlywhich places the tailwind again into the market so um you already know it is arduous until you are gettingbullet bearish new bearish order stream or you already know actual promoting to to maintain thatmomentum proper and as soon as that after that promoting kind of stops the market’s goingto imply revert on the truth that there’s not does not seem like there’s bearish choices flowuh and and the market can also be pricing a two % transfer proper so something different below thatis going so as to add a tailwind to the market you already know as as choices which seem too costly uhget kind of repriced if that makes yeah yeah um so uh so while you’re um trying atuh uh the vix i imply how are you um effectively how are you studying the hedge affect in hereor you already know you are form of not direct correlation however which one’s transferring first or umuh what sort of what perception do you get utilizing the the vix with a few of possibly this let’s simply saythe inventory indexes proper so while you have a look at the vix futures what you are really seeing from ourhero perspective is the hedging affect of vix vix index choices which might be buying and selling so on this caseif you are seeing constructive uh delta order stream within the vix that is telling you that individuals are eitherselling places or shopping for calls so you already know you might see that price uh appears to be like like proper after 10 o’clockthere’s a giant line there so it appears to be like like you already know i imply you’ll be able to see the triangles in your display aswell it is telling us these are huge trades and the vix going up uh and people all seem like bullishtrades so from the delta perspective while you have a look at the vix individuals are positioning for some uhbullish vix trades which is clearly saying that they are anticipating volatility to spike or they’reor they’re anticipating that volatility will spike now after all the vix within the final moments sincewe’ve talked is now pushing again over 34.That is a form of a bearish indicator there uh however butthat’s what that is actually watching proper are there main bullish inflows into the vixoptions area which is telling you that merchants are anticipating volatility spikes now thiswould be fascinating from some imply reversion perspective if the vix was to intraday spikevery excessive proper or get a serious transfer and also you begin to see the order stream change um thatcan be an fascinating you already know sentiment uh indicator uh we’re telling you one thing thatyou know possibly merchants are monetizing you already know a few of their vix calls if all actually spikes butbut that is actually what you are seeing while you’re while you’re trying on the the mounted futures hereand you see the the uh i imply i i it is simply actually curious i imply this appears to be like uh uh you already know it’sdefinitely uh uh a minimum of from the cache open right here uh you already know it has been uh the vix is isbullish right here um however uh after we look over right here although like on the uh the s p it is simply slightlyslightly going off or you already know barely down right here yeah yeah and you already know it is uh the the vixindex is specifically fairly difficult proper as a result of all the pieces is all the pieces is linked i meanthe the vix is relies off of the value of s p choices proper um and so after which you’ve got thevix futures advanced in addition to a few of these etfs after which you’ve got you already know spiders and esoso all the pieces is linked uh and and so it is about attempting to determine which sort of order flowis dominant i imply i do not suppose that there is i should not say ever however i do not suppose oftentimes imean vomit getting involves thoughts as soon as is the place the vix choices order stream is de facto going to begin towag the remainder of the market proper so within the case of watching vixen hero it is it is extra interestingfrom a form of a sentiment perspective um uh however you already know the the choices order stream within the s p500 is is giant sufficient we consider to to regulate the market i imply we speak about that daily andif you watch our ranges you already know you will you will see them come into play uh you already know very often so umagain it is it’s curious to me right here the truth that pretty impartial order stream however you already know the vixisn’t promoting off proper we’re not getting the volatility launch but um so you already know it is alittle little bit of a drift decrease right here however you already know it is good 10 15 factors since we have been talkingyeah yeah yeah fascinating stuff i imply like after which how i imply i do know you’ve got the spy additionally inyour cloud notes um uh product right here um yeah nasdaq um nasdaq russell uh are are there we have beentalking about methods to develop it into the equities and provide our cloud notes sadly from atechnical perspective it has been a bit tough to supply that variety of individualstocks so so we may select to do a handful of the most well-liked shares youknow that the apple tesla’s of the world and provide some some cloud notes there however buthero does work for round 100 symbols the record is on bookmap.com after which we provide tradinglevels on over 3000 completely different shares so you’ll be able to subscribe to all of that bookmak e-book mapmarketplace sorry a bit tongue tornado there yeah yeah i can um i will present that right here um somepeople and likewise i need to get to your web site and and present that um so uh uh since you havea lot of uh uh academic supplies in there um and you already know lots of people have questionsabout these things so we’ll we’ll migrate over there in only a second right here um however uh so umif you are on this hero indicator and the degrees that brent’s speaking about go tobookmap.com and click on on the extra button right here and then you definitely go to {the marketplace} you canclick on the textual content right here to {the marketplace} or you already know any any of those in right here we’ll go tolet’s go to add-ons and it ought to take us there okay it isn’t there it goes okay um and let’s justgo to the house web page right here uh it is proper right here within the prime um uh prime left and you’ll have a look at some ofthe particulars in right here of um you already know what you are getting and the completely different uh combos herei do not know if you wish to discuss a bit bit about that brent yeah so spot gamer professional isuh you’re going to get the cloud notes you will get two two day by day notes from us so one round sevena.m after which japanese time after which one other one which comes out the shut and we’ve an extensivesite that analyzes the choices positioning um in over like i mentioned 3 000 completely different names andthen some extra in depth readings in nasdaq spx et cetera and when you go spot gamer professional plus herothat bundle uh hero is clearly the choices actual time choices indicator so a few of it’s possible you’ll electjust to get the hero itself which is nice in order for you spot gaming professional which is simply our day by day notesyou know choose that and clearly you may also bundle and once more that features our day by day notesand something that we provide at spot gamma dot okay so uh yeah that is the place yow will discover it right here toto add it inside bookmap after which we’ll leap over to the spot gamma web site right here uh something youwant to undergo right here and form of level out or undergo in right here yeah so uh we’ve a fewdifferent methods to to learn the market we’ve some you already know welcome notes and issues like thatthat stroll folks by way of the completely different ways in which we analyze the s p 500 in particular person inventory soif lots of you’ve got heard these buzzwords like gamma and vana and issues like that so we havedifferent charts and metrics to to take a look at all that we do have a discord channel as effectively so youcan toggle again between ours and uh in e-book maps and primarily what you are going to see right here is all the pieces we do is about attempting to highlightwhen the choices market is in play so we do not suppose that each transfer is managed by the optionsmarket however we’re about figuring out when choices might be exerting some pressure in markets and weare serving to to establish and warn you to these positions or or conditions i ought to say so i’mjust form of curious so when these sorts of um i imply along with your your your your background andum expertise um uh while you begin to see that if otherwise you begin to see a few of these these optionsmetrics and and possibly a number of the spikes um from what i’ve seen it you you havealready form of um factored in that state of affairs uh and also you’re form of searching for it uhalready uh or or are you beginning to take a look at the precise order stream um after the occasion umor each um you already know to provide the path yeah it is actually each i imply the degrees that weput out at Three a.m um are about predicting the place order stream will change proper so when we’ve thecloud notes with our key ranges we expect that at these key ranges the order stream ought to changeand that is what makes it a help and resistance after which with hero it is about unveiling type ofwhat’s taking place in actual time intra-day and so there we are able to kind of say okay here is what theoptions market’s really doing after which after which we need to react to that in order that’s why we’rekind of you already know mentioning that effectively i prefer to see how the order stream reacts after we hit keylevel so you already know the market’s kind of promoting off right here if we do get within the 4240 space i wouldwant to see the choices overflow flip bullish and the vix begin to unload and that might tellme that that’s going to be an efficient backside um however from our for my lens i do not actually havemuch to do until i am brief right here then possibly i need to cowl 4240 however you already know to this point once more theoptions stream is not is de facto not very adverse in any respect there is a drift increased within the vix which isyou know arguably saying that that merchants are holding on to their put safety or holding onto their draw back safety um and on a day like this when you’ve got convex transfer in vitality and a lotof different issues there might be different drivers so i might suppose that the choices market wouldexist exert extra pressure after we get to our our ranges which have been set out at you already know creature4240 as you’ll be able to see bringing the upside it is 42 yeah fascinating proper so I imply and these are theum the spx uh simply so folks do not get confused that you already know we’re at 42.95 right here or precisely yeahso proper so all of the choices we analyze are spx index choices after which clearly spidersso when you see a combo is a mixture of the spiders and the spx if it simply says l3that’s a spx pushed degree and we’re trying on the measurement of all the degrees mixed early so that you don’twant to disregard spiders you do not solely have a look at spx after which the precise label place is at theequivalent futures worth so you will discover that 4300 is the spx worth but it surely’s listed at roughly42.95 which is the equal futures worth shiny there bruce i am sorry so uh sorry about that um uh maybeuh might you might you undergo only a form of uh you already know possibly as a reminder or justan clarification right here of uh what you imply uh by a few of these ranges in right here possibly startingup on the degree 4 up right here combo certain so anytime you see combo that could be a degree derivedfrom trying on the all of the choices gamma and spiders and spx mixed so we mix all thatgame we have a look at mainly a complete s p 500 view after which discover the 5 largest ranges and printthose on the charts now the extent must be of a sure measurement for us to print these out so in thiscase you are seeing 5 combo ranges proper however uh if we do not if we do not see that there’senough hedging stream or sufficient gamma at a sure strike then it will not present up on the chartthe subsequent you will see so l1 is the most important l5 is the smallest the subsequent ones you will see are l3 sol12345 that is solely the spx stream itself not spider stream in order that’s why it simply says l3and then the opposite two ranges that you just see on the chart there may be our vault set off so our voltrigger is our proprietary degree at which we see gamma flipping from constructive to adverse so manyof you’re conversant in the time period of gamma flip uh or the zero gamma level we’ve a zero gammapoint as effectively however however we simply present that so that folks know mainly what everybody elseis at proprietary degree the vault set off tells us the place we expect choices supportand resistance based mostly on that gamma flip is about to happen you’ll be able to see on this case itwas round 4325 the spx that fortuitously proved to be main resistance this morning marketrejected off of that degree so beneath that we see adverse gamma positioned within the s p 500 and abovethat vulture ranges the place we see constructive gamma and decrease excuse me decrease volatility taking placeokay after which the ultimate i am sorry something that um that has combo means it has spy as effectively butif it doesn’t if it doesn’t like a volt rig put wall you already know or simply l3 for instance that’s justspx proper so so combo l1 goes to be the place we see a lot of the gamma positioned and that shouldbe our strongest help and useful resource resistance degree if you wish to consider it like that um l2is our subsequent strongest degree l5 is you already know form of our our lowest degree now there are tons of ofstrikes clearly that even have gamma tied them however they’re tall for our for our fashions to careum so we solely attempt to present on display what what the most important ranges are quote unquote after which the thelast degree you see down there may be the put wall the foot wall tells you the place the most important put gamma isso giant the strike that has the most important put recreation apparently our research present that theof that we see that as a help degree however really the put whereas shifting increased isa is correlated with rallies out there 60 % of the time when the put shifts to ahigher strike the market rallies the next day so there’s some fascinating uh you knowcorrelations and research we’re capable of produce you’ll be able to learn that article on our weblog at spotcam okay so let me let me discover that right here um so we’ll simply go up right here to uh you goto free assets after which weblog okay after which when you simply seek for choice wallon that prime aspect it is gonna be buried in there a bit bit however search proper at thevery prime okay yep simply sort choice wall hopefully it comes on the market it’s stats thereyou go okay so in right here we’ve two two degree we we name considered one of our ranges the wall which iswhere most name recreation is concentrated the second’s referred to as put wall so when you simply sort ofread by way of this text it really lays out the highest variety of instances our these ranges havebeen touched uh over the past couple years and what occurs to the market uh intraday and inthe following day based mostly on fascinating based mostly on when the market interacts with these levelsyeah yeah additionally below free assets right here possibly i do know you guys did some actually goodvideos is that below the free coaching right here yeah so we’ve a course referred to as 30 for 30 whichis a really primary uh you already know fast stroll by way of of um all the pieces from what’s a inventory what’s it upto a few of these core core ideas like gamma and vanna and people forms of issues so um you already know youhear these buzzwords and also you simply form of need to understanding what that’s that is what these threecourses give you so there is a free factor referred to as 30 years of schooling in 30 minutes we additionally havesomething referred to as spot gamma academy which is a instructor-led course it is far more intensethat’s what that subsequent hyperlink down there may be so you’ll be able to join that and we’ll walkyou by way of in depth you already know what’s uh what are calls and places clearly however whatare all of the greeks how are you going to commerce them what are the second order greeks recreation of vanaet cetera what’s implied volatility how do you utilize it to your buying and selling and i feel considered one of thekey issues to notice right here is that even when you’re only a futurist dealer and also you commerce choices ifyou perceive these ideas you already know there’s the choices advanced within the s p 100 is so huge andwe’ve all seen over the previous yr how choices can transfer shares proper you already know the sport stops andamc’s of the worlds however tesla’s and all that simply perceive that order i feel it reallyhelps to unveil a whole lot of the value motion that you just see uh and it may well aid you make ita simpler futures or or inventory dealer wonderful wonderful um okay so uh uh anyway uh yepif if if individuals are on this uh you’ve got obtained the uh uh {the marketplace} right here uh you’ll be able to uhyou can test it out um after which uh you’ve got a whole lot of assets right here uh from the spot gamma academyuh and uh the weblog and the the web site and programs and many others so uh uh yeah any the rest you wannago over no i might say that the the professional service is a free seven-day trial so you already know attempt itout if if when you prefer it superior if you do not know how and this one right here we are able to transfer alongside rightright okay so you already know you get uh we would like everybody to it takes a short while to get used to ournomenclature the way in which we name completely different you already know ranges out and issues like that and get a feelingfor uh what the info is telling you in order that seven days ought to ought to offer you hopefully enoughtime to to actually get a great evaluation and uh and determine if if uh the spot recreation information isgonna aid you and yeah okay uh effectively uh yeah thanks brent um completely thanks yeah yeahi suppose we have uh coated nearly all the pieces uh let me take a fast search for some questionshere it is a bit harder right here in youtube to attempt to cowl that however possibly we canwe can cowl one thing right here maintain on certain yeah I imply it is simply form of requests forlooking at sure issues after which additionally about uh uh pricing um and many others uh in right here so uh um yeah yeahso we have been going nearly over an hour um you already know uh I actually actually admire it brentum you already know it is at all times simply fascinating stuff uh and a really distinctive perspective, uh integrating notonly uh you already know real-time hedge in packs right here, uh however all these completely different metrics and thingsthat you give you and correlations uh uh and understanding the market in a a lot a lot biggerpicture um so uh yeah thanks for uh for all of your insights right here, yeah effectively thanks for thetime to talk with you and I admire everybody their time as effectively I do know they’re fairly hereso it means loads that everybody’s taking a second to take heed to what we’ve to say allright thanks everyone and uh yeah we’ll uh good buying and selling brent and uh we’ll catch up nexttime admire it bruce thanks okay bye-bye
Professional Dealer Webinar – Brent Kochuba at Spotgamma
